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August 26, 2015

Iowa poll shows Clinton with big lead, Sanders with slight edge on trust

Hillary Clinton holds a big lead over her rivals among likely Iowa Democratic presidential caucus voters, even though most of those polled say the controversy over her email use as secretary of state will hurt her in next year's election.

Clinton was favored by 54 percent of those polled by Suffolk University, with Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders at 20 percent, Vice President Joe Biden at 11 percent and former Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley at 4 percent, according to poll results released Tuesday. Nine percent were undecided.

"There is a fierce loyalty to Hillary Clinton among likely Democratic caucus-goers in Iowa,” David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center in Boston, said in a statement. “Despite reports suggesting her vulnerability, these Democratic voters say they don’t believe she broke the law. They are sticking by her in large numbers, even though a majority believes the email scandal will hurt her in the general election.”

Asked which of the candidates was the most honest and trustworthy, 32 percent of the 500 likely caucus voters polled Aug. 20-24 chose Sanders, 29 percent chose Clinton, and 18 percent said Biden.

Clinton led Sanders 58-15 among likely Iowa caucus voters who are women, a result that Paleologos said was evidence that Clinton was "making the gender advantage work to her advantage."

Paleologos said the poll showed Biden with "modest early support" even though he had not decided whether to enter the Democratic primary.

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